Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Middlesbrough beat Portsmouth with a 12.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 27 (before the first match) against those on December 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champion | 30.2% | 48.9% | +18.7 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 57.6% | 39.6% | −18.0 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 60.0% | 46.5% | −13.5 |
| Everton | Champions League | 31.6% | 20.4% | −11.1 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 33.4% | 44.3% | +10.9 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 24.8% | 14.3% | −10.5 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 68.0% | 77.7% | +9.7 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 22.3% | 30.5% | +8.2 |
| Portsmouth | Europa League | 38.0% | 30.0% | −8.0 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 24.7% | 17.5% | −7.2 |
