Round 12

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on October 28 (before the first match) against those on November 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
FulhamRelegation30.7%18.0%−12.7
PortsmouthChampions League26.2%36.2%+10.0
ChelseaChampions League53.6%60.1%+6.5
Wigan AthleticRelegation40.9%47.1%+6.3
NewcastleEuropa League14.3%8.8%−5.5
NewcastleChampions League8.9%3.7%−5.2
LiverpoolChampions League58.8%53.7%−5.0
Birmingham CityRelegation33.9%38.8%+4.9
Blackburn RoversChampions League33.5%29.1%−4.4
Derby CountyRelegation74.1%78.4%+4.3
Home 44.8%
Draw 27.2%
Away 27.9%
Home 72.6%
Draw 20.2%
Away 7.2%
Home 68.8%
Draw 21.1%
Away 10.1%
Home 37.8%
Draw 29.2%
Away 33.0%
Home 34.1%
Draw 29.6%
Away 36.3%
Home 40.3%
Draw 28.5%
Away 31.3%
Home 21.5%
Draw 24.9%
Away 53.7%
Home 34.6%
Draw 29.8%
Away 35.5%
Home 43.8%
Draw 27.5%
Away 28.7%
Home 66.2%
Draw 21.7%
Away 12.1%