Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Fulham beat Liverpool with a 24.8% chance and Watford beat Reading with a 12.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 30 (before the first match) against those on May 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 26.0% | 68.4% | +42.4 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 63.9% | 22.1% | −41.8 |
| Everton | Europa League | 35.6% | 73.7% | +38.1 |
| Reading | Europa League | 38.2% | 1.6% | −36.6 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 57.2% | 90.5% | +33.2 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Europa League | 58.4% | 33.6% | −24.8 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 17.0% | 0% | −17.0 |
| Portsmouth | Europa League | 10.4% | 0.6% | −9.8 |
| Sheffield United | Relegation | 1.0% | 9.4% | +8.4 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 92.1% | 100% | +7.9 |
