Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: West Ham beat Wigan Athletic with a 24.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 22 (before the first match) against those on April 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | Europa League | 70.6% | 35.6% | −35.0 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 88.5% | 63.9% | −24.6 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 37.7% | 57.2% | +19.5 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 8.5% | 26.0% | +17.5 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 19.9% | 3.9% | −16.0 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 80.1% | 96.1% | +16.0 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 77.8% | 92.1% | +14.3 |
| Sheffield United | Relegation | 14.8% | 1.0% | −13.8 |
| Reading | Europa League | 26.3% | 38.2% | +11.9 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 10.4% | 17.0% | +6.6 |
