Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Sheffield United beat Arsenal with a 19.3% chance and Manchester City beat West Ham with a 24.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 27 (before the first match) against those on February 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | Relegation | 31.6% | 86.7% | +55.1 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 49.2% | 89.0% | +39.8 |
| Sheffield United | Relegation | 45.8% | 10.5% | −35.3 |
| Reading | Europa League | 3.6% | 37.4% | +33.8 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Europa League | 37.0% | 63.4% | +26.3 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 43.1% | 19.7% | −23.4 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 33.2% | 10.5% | −22.6 |
| Portsmouth | Champions League | 23.4% | 1.2% | −22.2 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 65.4% | 85.2% | +19.9 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 26.8% | 9.3% | −17.5 |
