Round 18

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 1 draw and 6 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Sheffield United beat Wigan Athletic with a 13.8% chance and West Ham beat Manchester United with a 20.5% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on December 13 (before the first match) against those on December 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Sheffield UnitedRelegation49.0%34.4%−14.6
Manchester UnitedChampion77.2%63.3%−13.9
ChelseaChampion21.5%34.9%+13.4
Charlton AthleticRelegation61.3%73.2%+11.9
LiverpoolChampions League51.6%61.8%+10.2
West HamRelegation38.9%29.3%−9.7
ArsenalChampions League63.9%54.3%−9.6
ArsenalEuropa League21.4%27.8%+6.4
Bolton WanderersChampions League24.8%31.2%+6.4
MiddlesbroughRelegation24.4%30.6%+6.2
Home 61.6%
Draw 22.9%
Away 15.6%
Home 38.6%
Draw 29.0%
Away 32.4%
Home 24.7%
Draw 26.0%
Away 49.4%
Home 64.6%
Draw 22.1%
Away 13.3%
Home 39.1%
Draw 28.8%
Away 32.1%
Home 63.9%
Draw 22.3%
Away 13.8%
Home 34.2%
Draw 29.7%
Away 36.1%
Home 31.3%
Draw 28.5%
Away 40.2%
Home 20.5%
Draw 24.5%
Away 55.0%
Home 49.5%
Draw 26.0%
Away 24.6%