Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 1 draw and 6 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Sheffield United beat Wigan Athletic with a 13.8% chance and West Ham beat Manchester United with a 20.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 13 (before the first match) against those on December 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United | Relegation | 49.0% | 34.4% | −14.6 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 77.2% | 63.3% | −13.9 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 21.5% | 34.9% | +13.4 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 61.3% | 73.2% | +11.9 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 51.6% | 61.8% | +10.2 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 38.9% | 29.3% | −9.7 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 63.9% | 54.3% | −9.6 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 21.4% | 27.8% | +6.4 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 24.8% | 31.2% | +6.4 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 24.4% | 30.6% | +6.2 |