Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Newcastle beat Blackburn Rovers with a 24.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 6 (before the first match) against those on December 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | Champions League | 19.3% | 10.2% | −9.1 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 44.8% | 53.3% | +8.5 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 71.9% | 80.3% | +8.4 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 26.4% | 18.4% | −8.0 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 54.4% | 61.4% | +7.1 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 10.6% | 4.4% | −6.3 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 34.7% | 40.5% | +5.8 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 19.8% | 25.4% | +5.6 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 17.8% | 23.1% | +5.3 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Europa League | 23.8% | 28.4% | +4.6 |
