Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Sheffield United beat Watford with a 22.5% chance and Manchester City beat Aston Villa with a 20.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 26 (before the first match) against those on December 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United | Relegation | 72.5% | 49.0% | −23.5 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 16.2% | 38.9% | +22.7 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 33.2% | 51.6% | +18.4 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 65.6% | 77.2% | +11.6 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 15.1% | 6.0% | −9.1 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 55.1% | 63.9% | +8.8 |
| Watford | Relegation | 66.0% | 74.0% | +8.0 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 13.0% | 5.0% | −8.0 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 32.7% | 24.8% | −7.9 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 29.3% | 21.5% | −7.8 |
