Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Reading beat Fulham with a 20.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 19 (before the first match) against those on January 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champions League | 27.0% | 91.6% | +64.6 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 21.0% | 56.4% | +35.4 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Europa League | 23.0% | 56.9% | +34.0 |
| Watford | Relegation | 64.8% | 88.6% | +23.8 |
| Sheffield United | Relegation | 66.5% | 43.2% | −23.3 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 1.9% | 23.1% | +21.2 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 54.5% | 75.4% | +20.9 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 64.8% | 83.6% | +18.8 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 19.6% | 1.2% | −18.4 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 17.7% | <0.1% | −17.6 |
