Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Aston Villa beat Everton with a 20.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 5 (before the first match) against those on November 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading | Relegation | 35.1% | 21.4% | −13.7 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 56.3% | 68.1% | +11.8 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 36.7% | 28.0% | −8.7 |
| Watford | Relegation | 50.3% | 58.9% | +8.6 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 27.8% | 20.3% | −7.5 |
| Everton | Champions League | 19.6% | 12.8% | −6.8 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 11.3% | 17.9% | +6.5 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 14.6% | 8.2% | −6.4 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 38.0% | 43.9% | +5.9 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 87.3% | 91.9% | +4.6 |
