Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, no draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Wigan Athletic beat Bolton Wanderers with a 20.2% chance and Sheffield United beat Newcastle with a 10.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 30 (before the first match) against those on November 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champion | 48.2% | 63.0% | +14.7 |
| Watford | Relegation | 61.7% | 50.3% | −11.5 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 35.2% | 24.9% | −10.3 |
| Reading | Relegation | 25.1% | 35.1% | +10.0 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 17.9% | 27.8% | +10.0 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 27.9% | 36.7% | +8.8 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 40.2% | 31.4% | −8.8 |
| Sheffield United | Relegation | 72.0% | 64.2% | −7.8 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 11.6% | 18.9% | +7.4 |
| Manchester City | Relegation | 19.8% | 27.1% | +7.3 |
