Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: West Ham beat Birmingham City with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 30 (before the first match) against those on December 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 73.7% | 60.3% | −13.4 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 29.7% | 37.6% | +7.9 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 53.0% | 60.0% | +7.1 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 17.8% | 24.7% | +6.8 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 16.9% | 23.6% | +6.7 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 54.4% | 60.8% | +6.4 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 40.8% | 46.8% | +6.0 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 8.6% | 3.4% | −5.2 |
| Wigan Athletic | Europa League | 16.8% | 11.7% | −5.0 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 76.8% | 81.8% | +5.0 |
