Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Everton beat Manchester City with a 24.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 30 (before the first match) against those on September 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champion | 47.3% | 58.3% | +10.9 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 35.2% | 44.5% | +9.3 |
| Everton | Relegation | 18.9% | 10.9% | −7.9 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 33.2% | 40.8% | +7.7 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 27.1% | 19.6% | −7.4 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 43.4% | 50.9% | +7.4 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 50.0% | 44.4% | −5.7 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 11.7% | 17.3% | +5.6 |
| Fulham | Champions League | 10.6% | 5.7% | −4.9 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 11.3% | 6.6% | −4.7 |
