Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Manchester City beat Aston Villa with a 23.3% chance and Fulham beat Blackburn Rovers with a 24.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 4 (before the first match) against those on May 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich City | Relegation | 91.8% | 62.4% | −29.3 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 62.1% | 85.7% | +23.6 |
| Everton | Champions League | 78.7% | 100% | +21.3 |
| Everton | Europa League | 21.3% | 0% | −21.3 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 52.2% | 72.2% | +20.0 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 15.8% | 0% | −15.8 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Europa League | 66.5% | 81.8% | +15.3 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 93.9% | 79.7% | −14.3 |
| Middlesbrough | Europa League | 14.4% | 26.8% | +12.4 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 11.7% | 0% | −11.7 |
