Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 3 draws and no away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Crystal Palace beat Liverpool with a 23.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 20 (before the first match) against those on April 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 89.6% | 71.0% | −18.7 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 58.2% | 75.2% | +17.0 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 59.5% | 74.2% | +14.7 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 24.9% | 12.3% | −12.7 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 90.5% | 79.2% | −11.2 |
| Everton | Champions League | 65.1% | 73.8% | +8.7 |
| Middlesbrough | Europa League | 8.3% | 16.9% | +8.7 |
| Everton | Europa League | 34.4% | 26.0% | −8.4 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 70.7% | 78.7% | +8.0 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 9.7% | 13.5% | +3.8 |
