Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Blackburn Rovers beat Bolton Wanderers with a 16.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 26 (before the first match) against those on December 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | Champions League | 46.8% | 34.1% | −12.7 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 32.0% | 19.4% | −12.5 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 59.3% | 66.3% | +7.0 |
| Charlton Athletic | Europa League | 16.5% | 23.5% | +7.0 |
| Everton | Europa League | 32.0% | 39.0% | +6.9 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 81.1% | 87.7% | +6.7 |
| Middlesbrough | Europa League | 35.6% | 40.7% | +5.1 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 14.3% | 9.7% | −4.6 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 39.0% | 43.5% | +4.5 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 14.8% | 10.5% | −4.3 |
