Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Blackburn Rovers beat Fulham with a 17.5% chance and Portsmouth beat Bolton Wanderers with a 18.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 22 (before the first match) against those on November 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champion | 46.8% | 62.2% | +15.5 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 49.2% | 64.4% | +15.2 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 41.0% | 27.0% | −14.0 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 48.2% | 35.0% | −13.2 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 32.0% | 42.8% | +10.8 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 65.6% | 76.2% | +10.6 |
| Middlesbrough | Champions League | 31.9% | 21.7% | −10.2 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 33.4% | 23.9% | −9.4 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 24.9% | 16.9% | −8.0 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 10.3% | 17.3% | +7.0 |
