Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Aston Villa beat Fulham with a 22.4% chance, Tottenham beat Charlton Athletic with a 21.3% chance, and Middlesbrough beat Manchester United with a 11.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 8 (before the first match) against those on February 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champion | 29.3% | 13.3% | −16.1 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 64.1% | 77.5% | +13.4 |
| Charlton Athletic | Champions League | 22.1% | 10.9% | −11.2 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 26.9% | 36.0% | +9.1 |
| Birmingham City | Europa League | 16.0% | 24.6% | +8.6 |
| Fulham | Europa League | 26.0% | 17.6% | −8.4 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 89.8% | 81.4% | −8.3 |
| Charlton Athletic | Europa League | 37.4% | 29.9% | −7.5 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 41.5% | 48.6% | +7.1 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 11.7% | 18.2% | +6.5 |
