Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Leeds United beat Charlton Athletic with a 9.8% chance, Leicester City beat Portsmouth with a 23.9% chance, and Middlesbrough beat Manchester City with a 19.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 24 (before the first match) against those on November 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 20.8% | 34.0% | +13.2 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 27.6% | 38.4% | +10.8 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 19.8% | 30.7% | +10.8 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 33.9% | 23.6% | −10.4 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 73.5% | 65.1% | −8.3 |
| Charlton Athletic | Champions League | 18.0% | 10.9% | −7.1 |
| Everton | Relegation | 6.3% | 11.9% | +5.6 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 46.9% | 41.5% | −5.5 |
| Tottenham | Relegation | 9.1% | 14.6% | +5.5 |
| Middlesbrough | Europa League | 6.0% | 11.4% | +5.4 |
