Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, no draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Manchester City beat Tottenham with a 19.2% chance and Birmingham City beat Charlton Athletic with a 18.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 16 (before the first match) against those on April 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | Relegation | 68.4% | 91.9% | +23.5 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 11.7% | 32.7% | +21.0 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 22.6% | 6.0% | −16.6 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 78.6% | 66.2% | −12.3 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 12.6% | 24.2% | +11.6 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 87.2% | 75.6% | −11.6 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 51.1% | 58.9% | +7.8 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 48.6% | 41.1% | −7.4 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 95.3% | 89.5% | −5.7 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 4.7% | 10.5% | +5.7 |
