Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: West Bromwich Albion beat Manchester City with a 11.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 29 (before the first match) against those on March 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | Relegation | 75.2% | 97.6% | +22.4 |
| Southampton | Europa League | 30.5% | 12.9% | −17.6 |
| Everton | Europa League | 27.2% | 43.6% | +16.4 |
| Charlton Athletic | Europa League | 8.1% | 24.4% | +16.2 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 73.1% | 89.0% | +15.9 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 81.2% | 94.9% | +13.7 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 78.3% | 66.2% | −12.1 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 86.7% | 97.7% | +11.0 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 86.2% | 97.0% | +10.8 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 12.1% | 1.4% | −10.7 |
