Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Birmingham City beat Fulham with a 17.7% chance and Sunderland beat Liverpool with a 19.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 9 (before the first match) against those on December 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champions League | 61.1% | 48.4% | −12.6 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 54.2% | 66.1% | +12.0 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 65.8% | 54.5% | −11.2 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 67.2% | 78.1% | +10.9 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 27.8% | 17.0% | −10.9 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 44.8% | 53.4% | +8.7 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 13.4% | 20.9% | +7.5 |
| Everton | Champions League | 12.7% | 19.0% | +6.3 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 10.0% | 4.9% | −5.1 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 10.8% | 5.9% | −4.8 |
