Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: West Bromwich Albion beat Middlesbrough with a 23.0% chance, Manchester United beat Liverpool with a 21.9% chance, and Charlton Athletic beat Leeds United with a 18.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 24 (before the first match) against those on December 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champion | 29.2% | 16.5% | −12.7 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 72.8% | 61.2% | −11.6 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 44.9% | 56.1% | +11.3 |
| Manchester City | Relegation | 29.1% | 18.6% | −10.5 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 45.1% | 54.9% | +9.8 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 83.9% | 74.1% | −9.8 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 45.2% | 54.8% | +9.6 |
| Middlesbrough | Champions League | 21.1% | 12.0% | −9.1 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 62.9% | 71.2% | +8.3 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 47.2% | 55.2% | +8.0 |
