Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Charlton Athletic beat Manchester City with a 24.8% chance, Everton beat Blackburn Rovers with a 19.8% chance, and Bolton Wanderers beat Leeds United with a 9.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 10 (before the first match) against those on November 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 60.6% | 45.9% | −14.7 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 39.4% | 52.0% | +12.7 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 43.2% | 31.4% | −11.9 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 58.5% | 68.5% | +10.0 |
| Everton | Champions League | 13.8% | 22.6% | +8.7 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 35.7% | 27.4% | −8.2 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Champions League | 19.5% | 12.0% | −7.5 |
| Manchester City | Relegation | 15.2% | 22.6% | +7.4 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 30.4% | 37.4% | +7.0 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 14.2% | 7.5% | −6.7 |
