Round 38

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Middlesbrough beat Everton with a 23.7% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on May 9 (before the first match) against those on May 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
WimbledonRelegation35.0%100%+65.0
Bradford CityRelegation65.0%0%−65.0
LiverpoolChampions League43.9%0%−43.9
LiverpoolEuropa League56.1%100%+43.9
Leeds UnitedChampions League56.1%100%+43.9
Leeds UnitedEuropa League43.9%0%−43.9
Home 34.7%
Draw 31.7%
Away 33.6%
Home 26.3%
Draw 27.6%
Away 46.1%
Home 57.5%
Draw 23.8%
Away 18.6%
Home 50.0%
Draw 26.3%
Away 23.7%
Home 33.5%
Draw 31.7%
Away 34.9%
Home 32.3%
Draw 31.0%
Away 36.8%
Home 51.9%
Draw 25.6%
Away 22.4%
Home 48.6%
Draw 26.8%
Away 24.6%
Home 28.9%
Draw 29.0%
Away 42.1%
Home 41.9%
Draw 29.1%
Away 29.0%