Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, no draws and 6 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Chelsea beat Leeds United with a 24.4% chance and Middlesbrough beat Tottenham with a 23.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 26 (before the first match) against those on April 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United | Champions League | 87.5% | 68.2% | −19.3 |
| Leeds United | Europa League | 12.5% | 31.2% | +18.7 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 17.7% | 6.0% | −11.7 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 59.8% | 68.9% | +9.0 |
| Bradford City | Relegation | 76.6% | 85.3% | +8.8 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 39.2% | 30.8% | −8.4 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 41.4% | 47.3% | +5.9 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 72.4% | 77.1% | +4.6 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 11.2% | 15.6% | +4.4 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 55.3% | 51.1% | −4.2 |
