Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Newcastle beat Everton with a 22.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 15 (before the first match) against those on March 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Europa League | 53.1% | 68.2% | +15.2 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 15.9% | 3.3% | −12.6 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 32.3% | 20.8% | −11.5 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 41.4% | 51.2% | +9.8 |
| Bradford City | Relegation | 64.1% | 72.7% | +8.6 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 52.1% | 59.6% | +7.5 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 9.4% | 3.5% | −5.9 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 10.6% | 6.6% | −4.0 |
| Everton | Europa League | 5.2% | 1.4% | −3.7 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 15.6% | 19.3% | +3.6 |
