Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Everton beat West Ham with a 22.5% chance and Leicester City beat Liverpool with a 18.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 20 (before the first match) against those on May 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 40.7% | 99.1% | +58.4 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 47.3% | 98.2% | +50.9 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 43.5% | 0.9% | −42.6 |
| Wimbledon | Relegation | 14.2% | 55.3% | +41.1 |
| Leeds United | Europa League | 20.6% | 51.5% | +30.9 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 75.2% | 48.5% | −26.7 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 25.2% | <0.1% | −25.2 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 21.7% | 0.5% | −21.2 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 85.8% | 100% | +14.2 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 34.5% | 48.1% | +13.6 |
