Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 5 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Southampton beat Aston Villa with a 16.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 1 (before the first match) against those on November 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champion | 31.3% | 44.7% | +13.4 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 63.3% | 52.9% | −10.4 |
| Wimbledon | Relegation | 28.2% | 17.8% | −10.4 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 68.8% | 78.5% | +9.7 |
| Leeds United | Champion | 27.3% | 18.3% | −9.0 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 12.4% | 20.4% | +8.0 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 15.1% | 22.8% | +7.8 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 18.6% | 11.3% | −7.3 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 50.4% | 43.4% | −6.9 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 10.0% | 15.8% | +5.8 |
