Round 12

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on October 18 (before the first match) against those on October 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Bradford CityRelegation56.3%41.0%−15.4
ArsenalChampions League42.0%57.2%+15.3
WatfordRelegation50.7%63.9%+13.2
NewcastleRelegation40.5%29.7%−10.9
ArsenalChampion12.7%23.1%+10.3
ChelseaChampions League53.8%44.1%−9.6
Manchester UnitedChampions League66.9%57.3%−9.6
Derby CountyRelegation18.1%26.5%+8.4
Manchester UnitedChampion30.0%22.3%−7.7
TottenhamChampions League7.3%13.8%+6.5
Home 62.5%
Draw 22.3%
Away 15.2%
Home 26.1%
Draw 27.5%
Away 46.3%
Home 48.0%
Draw 27.0%
Away 25.0%
Home 33.8%
Draw 31.9%
Away 34.3%
Home 30.8%
Draw 30.1%
Away 39.0%
Home 32.6%
Draw 31.2%
Away 36.2%
Home 33.5%
Draw 31.7%
Away 34.8%
Home 28.3%
Draw 28.7%
Away 43.0%
Home 54.4%
Draw 24.8%
Away 20.8%
Home 37.8%
Draw 30.6%
Away 31.6%