Round 1

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Southampton beat Coventry City with a 21.0% chance and Bradford City beat Middlesbrough with a 9.3% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on August 6 (before the first match) against those on August 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Bradford CityRelegation45.9%32.0%−13.9
ChelseaChampions League35.3%47.0%+11.8
SouthamptonRelegation33.5%22.3%−11.2
SunderlandRelegation40.3%51.1%+10.8
WimbledonRelegation26.9%18.5%−8.4
Manchester UnitedChampions League46.2%38.7%−7.5
ChelseaChampion12.7%19.6%+6.9
Coventry CityRelegation23.1%29.3%+6.2
Leeds UnitedChampions League30.8%24.9%−5.9
Aston VillaChampions League22.9%28.7%+5.8
Home 61.5%
Draw 22.6%
Away 15.9%
Home 74.4%
Draw 18.7%
Away 6.9%
Home 54.0%
Draw 25.0%
Away 21.0%
Home 54.9%
Draw 24.7%
Away 20.4%
Home 71.0%
Draw 19.7%
Away 9.3%
Home 32.5%
Draw 31.1%
Away 36.4%
Home 36.2%
Draw 31.2%
Away 32.6%
Home 32.6%
Draw 31.1%
Away 36.3%
Home 59.2%
Draw 23.3%
Away 17.5%
Home 25.1%
Draw 27.0%
Away 48.0%