Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Charlton Athletic beat Aston Villa with a 15.1% chance and Nottingham beat Blackburn Rovers with a 15.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 5 (before the first match) against those on May 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 51.2% | 95.5% | +44.3 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 43.9% | 86.3% | +42.5 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 53.9% | 13.7% | −40.3 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 56.0% | 25.5% | −30.5 |
| West Ham | Europa League | 28.8% | 42.0% | +13.2 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 91.9% | 79.0% | −12.9 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 64.1% | 58.0% | −6.1 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 4.5% | 0% | −4.5 |
