Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Aston Villa beat Liverpool with a 23.1% chance and Everton beat Newcastle with a 20.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 14 (before the first match) against those on April 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Europa League | 35.6% | 10.7% | −24.9 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 25.7% | 50.1% | +24.5 |
| Everton | Relegation | 33.1% | 10.2% | −22.8 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 22.1% | 9.8% | −12.3 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 57.7% | 68.1% | +10.4 |
| Derby County | Europa League | 13.0% | 3.2% | −9.8 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 79.4% | 89.0% | +9.6 |
| West Ham | Europa League | 18.7% | 26.1% | +7.5 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 3.7% | 8.8% | +5.1 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 37.2% | 42.0% | +4.8 |
