Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Middlesbrough beat Manchester United with a 15.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 16 (before the first match) against those on December 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champions League | 67.1% | 51.2% | −15.9 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 30.1% | 17.2% | −12.8 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 44.6% | 32.8% | −11.7 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 78.4% | 67.1% | −11.2 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 26.3% | 35.1% | +8.7 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 59.6% | 68.1% | +8.5 |
| Aston Villa | Champion | 23.8% | 31.7% | +7.8 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 55.5% | 62.5% | +7.1 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 39.1% | 45.3% | +6.2 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 19.9% | 25.9% | +5.9 |
