Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 2 draws and 6 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Arsenal beat Leeds United with a 20.4% chance and West Ham beat Wimbledon with a 20.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 2 (before the first match) against those on October 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Europa League | 10.1% | 18.2% | +8.1 |
| Newcastle | Champion | 35.5% | 43.4% | +8.0 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 35.5% | 43.4% | +8.0 |
| Leeds United | Europa League | 25.0% | 17.0% | −7.9 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 23.6% | 16.1% | −7.5 |
| Leeds United | Champion | 10.2% | 4.2% | −6.0 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 10.2% | 4.2% | −6.0 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 17.4% | 11.8% | −5.5 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 17.4% | 11.8% | −5.5 |
| Nottingham | Europa League | 22.2% | 27.0% | +4.8 |
