Round 37

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Manchester City beat Aston Villa with a 14.7% chance and Coventry City beat Wimbledon with a 20.1% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on April 17 (before the first match) against those on April 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Coventry CityRelegation29.7%16.3%−13.3
Queens Park RangersRelegation94.4%100%+5.6
SouthamptonRelegation15.3%19.3%+4.1
Home 65.2%
Draw 20.1%
Away 14.7%
Home 51.3%
Draw 25.6%
Away 23.0%
Home 35.9%
Draw 32.6%
Away 31.5%
Home 68.0%
Draw 19.1%
Away 13.0%
Home 45.1%
Draw 28.3%
Away 26.6%
Home 37.5%
Draw 31.8%
Away 30.7%
Home 54.5%
Draw 24.3%
Away 21.2%
Home 56.3%
Draw 23.6%
Away 20.1%
Home 56.1%
Draw 23.7%
Away 20.3%
Home 34.5%
Draw 33.3%
Away 32.3%