Round 16

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 7 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Manchester City beat Leeds United with a 11.8% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on November 27 (before the first match) against those on December 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Manchester CityRelegation54.2%40.7%−13.5
Coventry CityRelegation66.8%74.5%+7.6
NewcastleChampion58.1%62.3%+4.3
NewcastleChampions League58.1%62.3%+4.3
Queens Park RangersRelegation28.0%32.2%+4.2
Leeds UnitedEuropa League16.2%12.1%−4.1
Sheffield WednesdayRelegation16.7%12.7%−4.0
Manchester UnitedEuropa League50.9%54.1%+3.2
Home 39.7%
Draw 30.7%
Away 29.5%
Home 60.5%
Draw 21.9%
Away 17.6%
Home 20.1%
Draw 23.6%
Away 56.3%
Home 69.9%
Draw 18.3%
Away 11.8%
Home 65.1%
Draw 20.1%
Away 14.8%
Home 65.6%
Draw 19.9%
Away 14.4%
Home 46.2%
Draw 27.8%
Away 26.0%
Home 59.2%
Draw 22.4%
Away 18.3%
Home 27.9%
Draw 29.3%
Away 42.8%
Home 58.3%
Draw 22.8%
Away 18.9%