Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Everton beat Liverpool with a 12.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 8 (before the first match) against those on November 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 66.5% | 75.9% | +9.4 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 17.7% | 26.1% | +8.4 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 17.7% | 26.1% | +8.4 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 13.9% | 6.2% | −7.7 |
| Nottingham | Europa League | 32.2% | 24.6% | −7.7 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 35.4% | 28.7% | −6.7 |
| Everton | Relegation | 15.5% | 9.1% | −6.4 |
| Leeds United | Europa League | 14.5% | 19.6% | +5.1 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 10.0% | 5.7% | −4.3 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 10.0% | 5.7% | −4.3 |
