Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: West Ham beat Sheffield Wednesday with a 24.4% chance, Southampton beat Wimbledon with a 22.4% chance, and Bolton Wanderers beat Arsenal with a 22.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 22 (before the first match) against those on October 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 71.5% | 60.4% | −11.2 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 27.3% | 19.3% | −8.0 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 45.9% | 53.7% | +7.8 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 21.0% | 13.6% | −7.4 |
| Manchester City | Relegation | 76.3% | 82.6% | +6.3 |
| Newcastle | Champion | 46.6% | 40.4% | −6.2 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 46.6% | 40.4% | −6.2 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 14.4% | 8.3% | −6.1 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 22.3% | 28.1% | +5.9 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 22.3% | 28.1% | +5.9 |
