Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, no draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Deportivo Alavés beat Valencia with a 21.6% chance and Almería beat Rayo Vallecano with a 12.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 29 (before the first match) against those on May 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | Conference League | 27.2% | 36.0% | +8.8 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 6.1% | 0.7% | −5.4 |
| Valencia | Conference League | 5.5% | 0.4% | −5.1 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 86.6% | 91.3% | +4.7 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 92.4% | 97.0% | +4.6 |
