Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Elche beat Atlético Madrid with a 11.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 4 (before the first match) against those on May 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | Relegation | 25.8% | 5.7% | −20.2 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 90.8% | 81.1% | −9.8 |
| Real Betis | Conference League | 52.2% | 61.6% | +9.4 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 8.2% | 16.4% | +8.2 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 31.7% | 39.8% | +8.1 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 6.9% | 14.8% | +7.8 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 81.2% | 87.2% | +6.0 |
| Athletic Club | Conference League | 6.2% | 0.5% | −5.6 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 34.5% | 30.2% | −4.2 |
