Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Elche beat Rayo Vallecano with a 22.2% chance and Girona beat Sevilla with a 20.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 27 (before the first match) against those on May 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cádiz | Relegation | 33.2% | 12.2% | −21.0 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 35.5% | 55.0% | +19.6 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 37.1% | 51.8% | +14.7 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 64.9% | 77.2% | +12.3 |
| Real Betis | Conference League | 33.2% | 45.3% | +12.1 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 80.4% | 68.7% | −11.7 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 24.9% | 16.2% | −8.6 |
| Valencia | Relegation | 15.3% | 23.7% | +8.4 |
| Real Sociedad | Conference League | 8.8% | 2.2% | −6.6 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 8.8% | 2.3% | −6.5 |
