Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Girona beat Real Madrid with a 20.0% chance, Almería beat Getafe with a 22.9% chance, Rayo Vallecano beat Barcelona with a 21.6% chance, and Sevilla beat Athletic Club with a 23.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 23 (before the first match) against those on April 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almería | Relegation | 41.5% | 16.3% | −25.2 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 22.4% | 37.1% | +14.7 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 22.0% | 33.2% | +11.1 |
| Valencia | Relegation | 25.1% | 15.3% | −9.8 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 19.1% | 10.7% | −8.4 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 15.9% | 23.5% | +7.6 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 73.3% | 80.4% | +7.1 |
| Athletic Club | Conference League | 24.8% | 18.1% | −6.6 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 29.7% | 35.5% | +5.8 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 14.2% | 8.8% | −5.5 |
