Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Girona beat Athletic Club with a 16.2% chance, Almería beat Barcelona with a 12.4% chance, and Osasuna beat Sevilla with a 22.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 20 (before the first match) against those on February 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 29.7% | 45.2% | +15.5 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 29.7% | 41.9% | +12.2 |
| Almería | Relegation | 39.9% | 29.0% | −10.9 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 28.8% | 37.5% | +8.8 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 72.7% | 64.4% | −8.3 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 37.1% | 30.9% | −6.2 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 13.0% | 7.9% | −5.2 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 88.2% | 83.6% | −4.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 11.7% | 16.2% | +4.5 |
| Girona | Relegation | 9.3% | 4.8% | −4.5 |
