Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Elche beat Villarreal with a 14.3% chance, Celta Vigo beat Real Betis with a 13.7% chance, Mallorca beat Real Madrid with a 17.6% chance, and Real Valladolid beat Real Sociedad with a 8.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 2 (before the first match) against those on February 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 38.2% | 25.9% | −12.3 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 74.0% | 86.3% | +12.2 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 35.1% | 47.3% | +12.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 24.8% | 13.3% | −11.5 |
| Almería | Relegation | 16.4% | 24.0% | +7.6 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 28.5% | 21.8% | −6.7 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 18.9% | 12.4% | −6.5 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Champions League | 4.7% | 10.4% | +5.7 |
| Girona | Relegation | 18.2% | 12.6% | −5.5 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 76.2% | 70.8% | −5.4 |
