Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 9 (before the first match) against those on February 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 47.5% | 76.2% | +28.7 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 20.1% | 40.1% | +19.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 41.6% | 57.5% | +15.9 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 19.0% | 3.6% | −15.4 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 38.2% | 25.2% | −13.0 |
| Almería | Relegation | 29.1% | 16.4% | −12.6 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 31.3% | 19.6% | −11.8 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 39.9% | 28.5% | −11.3 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 65.4% | 74.0% | +8.7 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 32.2% | 24.8% | −7.4 |