Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Cádiz beat Valencia with a 10.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 31 (before the first match) against those on January 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champion | 49.5% | 65.4% | +15.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 47.7% | 32.2% | −15.4 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 51.3% | 37.3% | −14.0 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 53.7% | 41.6% | −12.1 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 29.4% | 38.2% | +8.8 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 38.8% | 47.5% | +8.7 |
| Almería | Relegation | 21.3% | 29.1% | +7.8 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 29.4% | 21.6% | −7.7 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 32.4% | 39.9% | +7.5 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 25.1% | 19.0% | −6.0 |
