Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Huesca beat Real Valladolid with a 19.0% chance and Levante beat Real Madrid with a 11.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 25 (before the first match) against those on February 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huesca | Relegation | 79.8% | 65.8% | −14.0 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 27.7% | 39.2% | +11.5 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 67.0% | 78.1% | +11.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 15.5% | 6.5% | −9.0 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 78.2% | 86.9% | +8.7 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 30.0% | 23.6% | −6.4 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 20.3% | 25.5% | +5.2 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 18.2% | 13.1% | −5.0 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 94.5% | 89.7% | −4.8 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 29.2% | 33.9% | +4.7 |
