Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Eibar beat Atlético Madrid with a 22.8% chance, Mallorca beat Valencia with a 22.0% chance, and Espanyol beat Villarreal with a 14.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 5 (before the first match) against those on January 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganés | Relegation | 45.0% | 62.4% | +17.5 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 18.5% | 33.7% | +15.2 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 69.9% | 58.0% | −11.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 70.4% | 62.5% | −7.8 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 20.0% | 12.2% | −7.8 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 72.5% | 65.6% | −7.0 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 6.2% | 11.5% | +5.3 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 15.8% | 11.1% | −4.7 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 43.2% | 47.9% | +4.6 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 19.6% | 24.2% | +4.6 |
