Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Celta Vigo beat Villarreal with a 11.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 10 (before the first match) against those on November 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 61.1% | 44.8% | −16.3 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 55.5% | 63.9% | +8.4 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 17.0% | 23.8% | +6.8 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 12.2% | 6.0% | −6.2 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 44.4% | 50.6% | +6.2 |
| Leganés | Relegation | 62.2% | 68.3% | +6.2 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 17.1% | 22.7% | +5.6 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 67.2% | 61.6% | −5.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 83.7% | 89.1% | +5.4 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 13.1% | 8.6% | −4.5 |
